@nathanwei in the scenario of a hung parliament and another elections round, would you consider the care-taker government as the “next” government, or will you wait until the first new government sworn in?

@Lemming The latter. If the 37th gov't remained a caretaker Thirty-seventh government of Israel - Wikipedia that's still the current 37th govt, not the next govt. I should have asked explicitly about the 38th government.

Related market: https://manifold.markets/Lemming/when-will-the-next-elections-for-th?r=TGVtbWluZw

To be clear, "in the government" means having a cabinet position, correct? And not just being part of a party in the coalition?

@UnspecifiedPerson No it means being a member of the government. You don't have to be a minister. Of course in practice, these guys are all likely to have a portfolio if they are in the government.

Dark Speculator here thinking it will be Gantz+Lapid+Meretz or Gantz+Haredim or something like that.

I mean, the first new government formed after new elections. If there is another round and the same government, that does NOT resolve.