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MANIFOLD
Will Palestinian-led parties vote to establish or join Israel's next government?
6
Ṁ1kṀ237
Dec 31
42%
chance

Resolves YES if at least one Palestinian-led party either formally joins the first government formed after the October 2026 election or votes in favor of its initial confidence vote.

Resolves NO if the government takes office without either happening.

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bought Ṁ25 NO

interesting market! Can you clarify which parties you mean? The three Arab joint parties plus Ra'am are who are being considered?

@SpeaksForTrees Ra'am (United Arab List), Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad, whether participating individually or as part of the Joint List.