Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes if any members of the Electoral College vote for a candidate other than the candidate to whom they had pledged their vote in the 2024 presidential election, and their vote is not invalidated, according to reporting by credible sources.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
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@pietrokc I think the campaigns got a lot more strict about vetting their electors to make sure they aren't faithless after 2016, so it should be a lot less likely now than it has been historically.
@PlasmaBallin I always wondered if it was a 269-269 or 270-268 and one of the electors was paid off or something how the country would melt down
@DavidBolin How would that work if the electoral vote has already been cast? I always thought in reality the supreme court would take over whether they have the authority to or not and give it to the person who got the most electoral votes but who knows.
@ThomasTwenhoven In this situation, "faithless" would be more commonly used (i.e. they've broken faith). As to why English is like this . . . well, that's a long story.