Will there be an Electoral College tie by 2049?
4
23
Ṁ56Ṁ130
2049
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will there be a POTUS election in which no candidate secures a majority of the Electoral College votes, causing the election to go to the House?
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will the 2024 US presidential election be extremely close (within 100,000 votes for electors to the Electoral College)?
50% chance
Will a woman be elected as the President of the United States before the end of 2040?
46% chance
Will there be a female president of the US by the year 2040?
53% chance
Will the winner of the electoral college also win the popular vote in 2024?
75% chance
Will the 2024 election be extremely close? (Within eight electoral votes of a tie)
23% chance
Will a Republican win the popular vote by 2037?
42% chance
Will a socialist be elected president by 2040?
31% chance
Will a Democrat have the Electoral College advantage in any of the next three elections (2024, 2028, or 2032)?
64% chance
Will the winner of the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election lose the electoral vote?
28% chance
Will the winner of the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election also win a majority in the electoral college?
75% chance