Resolves no, I think, though it's a bit hard to find an article that says "there were no faithless electors", so one has to check the link Zane posted. The other markets on this have resolved No: https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-will-happen-in-december-2024-a https://manifold.markets/mirrorbot/acx-2024-will-there-be-faithless-el?play=true https://manifold.markets/PlasmaBallin/will-there-be-any-unfaithful-electo

https://www.270towin.com/2024-vote-of-electors/

I'm a bit uneducated on this so why is this so low? Weren't there 7 faithless electors in 2016? Aren't circumstances very similar to 2016?

@spiderduckpig Quite a few states passed laws that invalidate faithless electors after 2016. And that's in addition to the fact that the general mood among Democrats this election is very different to 2016, the loss is much less of a surprise and isn't paired with a popular vote victory, among many other things.

@HenryRodgers 33 States Have Laws Binding Electors, But Only a Few Impose Any Penalties

https://heavy.com/news/which-states-allow-faithless-electors-electoral-college/

@CryptoNeoLiberalist what is this map?

I assume it has to be actual legitimate electors whose votes are counted by congress? So the false electors from the 2020 election wouldn't result in a YES, for example.

@someguy2776 That's correct.