Will faithless electors change a US Presidential election outcome in the 21st century?
Plus
16
Ṁ5102100
37%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Includes causing a contingent election in the House even if the ultimate outcome doesn't change.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be 5 or more faithless electors in the 2024 US presidential election?
1% chance
In the 2024 US presidential election, will there be at least one faithless elector?
1% chance
If there are faithless electors in the 2024 election, who will they vote for?
Will a US local election official refuse to certify any state or federal election results in 2024?
35% chance
Will Kennedy win any electoral college votes in the 2024 US election, including faithless electors?
1% chance
Will an elector from Washington, D.C. vote for a Republican President in the 21st century?
28% chance
Will the 2024 US election have an outcome that cannot be certified by the reasonable observers?
15% chance
Will the 2024 US Presidential Election be successfully reversed?
2% chance
Will any US state fail to certify the election and submit a slate of electors before Jan/1/2025?
2% chance
Will more than 25% of US Adults believe the 2024 Election was illegitimate in February 2025?
6% chance