[ACX 2024] Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2024?
96
445
1.2k
2025
13%
chance

Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2024?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

This question will resolve as Yes if, in calendar year 2024, credible sources report that Ali Khamenei has ceased to be the Supreme Leader of Iran for any reason.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

Get Ṁ600 play money

More related questions