Who will be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
11
Ṁ200Ṁ172Dec 31
24%
Mojtaba Khamenei
22%Other
15%
Hassan Khomeini
11%
No one
9%
Hashem Hosseini Bushehri
7%
Mohsen Araki
6%
Alireza Arafi
6%
Sadiq Larijani
Resolves to the next person to hold the office of Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei. If the office is abolished or remains vacant for six months, resolves "No one."
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Who will be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Will Ali Larijani succeed Khamenei as the supreme leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran?
5% chance
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year?
17% chance
Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?
42% chance
When the Islamic Republic’s Supreme Leader (Ayatollah Khamenei) dies or steps down, who will be the next Supreme Leader?
If the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran falls by 2030, will Reza Pahlavi lead the new government a year later?
24% chance
Who will be paramount leader of Iran on January 1st 2027?
Will Iran appoint a new Supreme Leader by April 1st, 2026?
50% chance
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
99% chance
If Khamenei is forcibly removed from power, will the Islamic regime survive?
44% chance