Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through December 31, 2024?
Basic
27
Ṁ7.5kDec 31
87%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The resolution source for this market will be the CIA World Factbook page for Iran, currently available at https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/iran/#government. A consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
Arbitrage opportunity: https://manifold.markets/mirrorbot/acx-2024-will-ali-khamenei-cease-to
Related questions
Related questions
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through December 31st, 2025?
46% chance
Will Ali Khameini cease to be Supreme Leader of Iran by the end of 2024?
13% chance
[ACX 2024] Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2024?
9% chance
Will Ali Khamenei cease to be Supreme Leader of Iran before 2030?
85% chance
Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?
36% chance
Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2024?
69% chance
Will the US attack Iran by Dec 15th 2024?
11% chance
Will Mahmoud Abbas remain the President of Palestine until the end of 2024?
78% chance
Will Iran declare that they are a nuclear power by the end of 2024?
25% chance
Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by the end of 2024?
5% chance