Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through December 31, 2024?
71
Ṁ1kṀ28kresolved Jan 4
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The resolution source for this market will be the CIA World Factbook page for Iran, currently available at https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/iran/#government. A consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ503 | |
| 2 | Ṁ265 | |
| 3 | Ṁ256 | |
| 4 | Ṁ220 | |
| 5 | Ṁ157 |
Sort by:
Arbitrage opportunity: https://manifold.markets/mirrorbot/acx-2024-will-ali-khamenei-cease-to
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Ayatollah Kamenei Flee Iran before Feb 6 2026?
3% chance
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran when?
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
45% chance
Will Ali Khamenei be out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30, 2026?
32% chance
Will they pull a Nasrallah on Khamenei by end of January 2026?
13% chance
Will Ali Khamenei cease to be Supreme Leader of Iran before 2030?
97% chance
Who will be paramount leader of Iran on January 1st 2027?
If Khamenei is forcibly removed from power, will the Islamic regime survive?
38% chance
When the Islamic Republic’s Supreme Leader (Ayatollah Khamenei) dies or steps down, who will be the next Supreme Leader?
Will Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei flee (travel) to Russia by any of the following dates?