
How long until Majid Mousavi is no longer Aerospace Chief of the IRGC?
7
Ṁ1kṀ1.7k2028
July 7, 2026
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
71%
Before 2027
72%
Before 2028
The last aerospace chief of the IRGC was Brigadier General Amir Ali Hajizadeh. He served as the commander of the IRGC Aerospace Force from October 2009 until his assassination on June 13, 2025.
Once Israel began assassinating them, Hezbollah had 4 leaders between September 27 and October 29.
Will Israel maintain the pace for assassinating Iranian military leadership, or will Mousavi see a similarly long career to his predecessor.
Resolves for whichever threshold is most accurate (exclusive) if/when Majid Mousavi is no longer Chief of the IRGC Aerospace Division for any reason.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Leader of Iran at end of 2026?
Who will be paramount leader of Iran on January 1st 2027?
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?
58% chance
Will Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi still be alive by June 1st 2026?
49% chance
Will Iran get a new Supreme Leader before the end of April?
14% chance
Mojtaba Khamenei Supreme Leader of Iran on July 1st, 2026
66% chance
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be alive on Jan 1, 2027?
54% chance
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be first shown alive on video between April 1st and May 1, 2026?
28% chance
Will Iranian Minister of Interior Eskandar Momeni still be alive by June 1st 2026?
64% chance
Will Iranian Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council Hossein Deghan still be alive on June 1st 2026?
70% chance