
How long until Majid Mousavi is no longer Aerospace Chief of the IRGC?
3
1kṀ225Dec 31
April 8, 2026
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
70%
Before August 2025
50%
Before September 2025
50%
Before 2026
50%
Before 2027
69%
Before 2028
The last aerospace chief of the IRGC was Brigadier General Amir Ali Hajizadeh. He served as the commander of the IRGC Aerospace Force from October 2009 until his assassination on June 13, 2025.
Once Israel began assassinating them, Hezbollah had 4 leaders between September 27 and October 29.
Will Israel maintain the pace for assassinating Iranian military leadership, or will Mousavi see a similarly long career to his predecessor.
Resolves for whichever threshold is most accurate (exclusive) if/when Majid Mousavi is no longer Chief of the IRGC Aerospace Division for any reason.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through December 31st, 2025?
51% chance
Will Iran experience regime change in 2025?
36% chance
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?
13% chance
Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?
62% chance
Will Iran’s current government be overthrown, removed, or collapse before January 2026?
23% chance
Will Ali Khamenei cease to be Supreme Leader of Iran before 2030?
93% chance
When the Islamic Republic’s Supreme Leader (Ayatollah Khamenei) dies or steps down, who will be the next Supreme Leader?
Will Iran bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?
23% chance
Will Iran bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
37% chance
Will Iran bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?
54% chance