If Germany stops giving Ukraine heavy weapons, will Ukraine still exist in 2030?
12
1kṀ5482029
89%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Heavy weapons are tanks, artillery, and jets.
Resolves NA immediately if Ukraine says they don't need heavy weapons anymore. Also NA if Germany plans to send more heavy weapons at close date.
Resolves YES if Ukraine still exists at close date. Existance in the sense of a country according to german maps.
Resolves NO if current german maps at close date show no Ukraine.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
How will the Ukraine-Russia border look like in 2030?
Will Ukraine have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2035?
23% chance
Will the war in Ukraine still be ongoing on Jan 1 2030?
20% chance
Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2030?
7% chance
Will Germany acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
5% chance
Will the Ukrainians get the German Taurus cruise missile before the end of 2025?
61% chance
Will Germany acquire nuclear weapons before 2032?
5% chance
If the U.S. stops sending military assistance to Ukraine, will there be a ceasefire by the end of 2025?
Will Ukraine join NATO before end of 2030?
28% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO by 2030?
19% chance