Will Germany acquire nuclear weapons before 2032? | Manifold

Will Germany acquire nuclear weapons before 2032?

8

130Ṁ936

2032

5%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Germany has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2032. This device must be under the sovereign control of the German State, and they must have the ability to use it independently.

Different years:

/RemNi/will-germany-acquire-nuclear-weapon

/RemNi/will-germany-acquire-nuclear-weapon-4f9456e9a05e (this question)

Different countries:

/RemNi/will-saudi-arabia-acquire-nuclear-w

/RemNi/will-saudi-arabia-acquire-nuclear-w-dec3b5e7dd7f(this question)

Nuclear Weapons

Nuclear Proliferation

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