Will Germany acquire nuclear weapons before 2032?
13
130Ṁ12272032
16%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Germany has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2032. This device must be under the sovereign control of the German State, and they must have the ability to use it independently.
Different years:
/RemNi/will-germany-acquire-nuclear-weapon
/RemNi/will-germany-acquire-nuclear-weapon-4f9456e9a05e (this question)
Different countries:
/RemNi/will-saudi-arabia-acquire-nuclear-w
/RemNi/will-saudi-arabia-acquire-nuclear-w-dec3b5e7dd7f(this question)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Germany acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
14% chance
Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
31% chance
Will Germany have nuclear power again before 2030?
8% chance
Will there be a nuclear powerplant operating in Germany, in 2025?
1% chance
Will Japan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
32% chance
Will Sweden acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
14% chance
Will Australia acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
7% chance
Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2032?
28% chance
Will Nigeria acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
4% chance
Will Poland acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
18% chance