Will Germany acquire nuclear weapons before 2031? | Manifold

Will Germany acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Plus

24

Ṁ2478

2031

5%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Germany has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031. This device must be under the sovereign control of the German State, and they must have the ability to use it independently.

Different years:

/RemNi/will-germany-acquire-nuclear-weapon (this question)

/RemNi/will-germany-acquire-nuclear-weapon-4f9456e9a05e

Different countries:

/RemNi/will-japan-acquire-nuclear-weapons

/RemNi/will-australia-acquire-nuclear-weap

/RemNi/will-south-korea-acquire-nuclear-we

/RemNi/will-germany-acquire-nuclear-weapon (this question)

/RemNi/will-taiwan-acquire-nuclear-weapons-091895b8e730

/RemNi/will-vietnam-acquire-nuclear-weapon

/RemNi/will-iran-acquire-nuclear-weapons-b

/RemNi/will-saudi-arabia-acquire-nuclear-w
/RemNi/will-turkey-acquire-nuclear-weapons

/RemNi/will-sweden-acquire-nuclear-weapons

/RemNi/will-indonesia-acquire-nuclear-weap

/RemNi/will-brazil-acquire-nuclear-weapons

/RemNi/will-nigeria-acquire-nuclear-weapon

/RemNi/will-nauru-acquire-nuclear-weapons

/RemNi/will-poland-acquire-nuclear-weapons

/RemNi/will-belarus-acquire-nuclear-weapon

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Nuclear Weapons

#Nuclear Proliferation

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

France offered to share control of its nukes and Germany refused. If they change their minds, does this count?

@BrunoParga There would have to be strong evidence that the German state has a nuclear weapon that it can use independently

Does this include NATO weapon sharing?

@NathanScott No, the weapons have to be under the sovereign control of the German state.

Related questions

Will Germany acquire nuclear weapons before 2032?

Will Germany have nuclear power again before 2030?

Will Japan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will nuclear energy be a relevant topic in Germany's election 2025?

Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will South Korea acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will Taiwan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?

Related questions

Will Germany acquire nuclear weapons before 2032?

Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will Germany have nuclear power again before 2030?

Will South Korea acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will Japan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will Taiwan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?

Will nuclear energy be a relevant topic in Germany's election 2025?

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules