If Germany gives Ukraine a Taurus missile before a Russian missile or drone hits a target in a NATO country, and before January 1st 2031, this question resolves as YES.
If a Russian missile or drone hits a target in a NATO country before Germany gives Ukraine a Taurus missile, and before January 1st 2031, this question resolves as NO.
If neither of these two events occur before January 1st 2031, this question resolves as N/A. The events in question must occur after May 1st 2024.
A target in the context of this question includes (but is not limited to): military or civilian personnel, vehicles, infrastructure.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ145 | |
| 2 | Ṁ82 | |
| 3 | Ṁ67 | |
| 4 | Ṁ48 | |
| 5 | Ṁ21 |
People are also trading
@Dulaman you should check out the market on Poland, created by someone trying to pretend that Russia sending 19 kamikaze drones into Poland wasn't an act of war. Completely mind boggling.
@Lorelai these people have been getting pumped with russian misinformation over many years, past a certain point they're conditioned to say the words all by themselves. No matter how delusional it is
@traders russian attack drone was sent into Poland and hit a house
@DaniellqdC6 sending attack drones into another countries airspace is an act of aggression. If those drones go on to hit civilian or military infrastructure then that qualifies in the context of this question.
In this instance, it is clear that Russia intended to provoke Poland. Poland responded by shooting down the drones, which then hit civilian targets. But it is unambiguously Russia who is as fault and triggered this course of events. As such, this question resolves NO.
@DaniellqdC6 Same thing for when Russian send attack drones into Ukraine's airspace. Ukraine shoots down the drones and some then go on to hit civilian infrastructure. Russia still "succeeds" in hitting civilian targets in these circumstances.
Giving a missile is not particularly instantaneous; will this resolve using the time when the offer was signed (and what if that's unknown), when the missile crossed the border (unlikely to be known either) or what?
Asking this because it's particularly likely that a target in a NATO country is hit because of Taurus shipment.
@AnT "Asking this because it's particularly likely that a target in a NATO country is hit because of Taurus shipment." -- this is bullshit
@JuhoPennanen the fewer weapons Germany gives to Ukraine the greater the likelihood of an attack on a NATO country.