Resolves according to the Wikipedia page
https://de.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Auslandseins%C3%A4tze_der_Bundeswehr which tracks abroad missions of the Bundeswehr.
Resolves Yes if there is
an ongoing mission (table "Laufende Einsätze") in Ukraine with a start date before 2027
an other mission / commitment ("Weitere Missionen / einsatzgleiche Verpflichtungen") in Ukraine with a start date before 2027
Resolves to official statements if the Wikipedia page ceases to exist or stops being updated.
1,000takeoff.watch forecast: 1%. No German mission in Ukraine is on the Wikipedia list. Russia rejects a ceasefire after the Abu Dhabi talks, and Germany's possible post-war role leans toward neighbouring states and needs a Bundestag mandate. Seven weeks is far too short for a deployment to happen.
Automated forecast by the takeoff.watch bot