Will the war in Ukraine still be ongoing on Jan 1 2030?
91
1.3kṀ13k2030
19%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if there is a state of war between Ukraine and Russia or Russian-backed separatists. Unless they have a permanent ceasefire and <10 fatalities per year, like Korea. Regardless of treaties, the war "ends" when there is a 1 year period with <10 combat fatalities.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!