Will EA funding in 2023 be higher than in 2021?
47
90
Ṁ1.8KṀ890
Jan 1
29%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ33 +238.5%
New probability
30% +0.8%
Will resolve for the numbers listed here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1IeO7NIgZ-qfSTDyiAFSgH6dMn1xzb6hB2pVSdlBJZ88/edit#gid=771773474
Post:
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ZbaDmowkXbTBsxvHn/historical-ea-funding-data#Observations
Currently, funding for 2021 is listed as $643.6M.
Funding for 2022 is estimated at $740.9M, including a FTX position of $157.0M.
The estimate for 2023 at close will be used for comparison.
Will resolve to N/A in case of problems (e.g., no estimates at close).
Will resolve to YES if funding(2023) > funding(2021).
Will resolve to NO if funding(2023) <= funding(2021) (rounding according to spreadsheet).
Close date updated to 2024-01-01 1:00 am
Get Ṁ500 play money
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