Will there be any new EA billionaires by 2027?
46
1kṀ31692027
86%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As far as I know, there currently exist two billionaires who support Effective Altruism organizations (Dustin Moskovitz and Sam Bankman-Fried).
Will there be any new EA billionaire funders in the next 5 years?
Jun 23, 5:20pm: This question resolves positively only if there is no ambiguity, in that the said billionaire is clearly past the billion mark, and is openly supporting and donating to EA causes.
Jun 25, 12:49pm: New, as in which don't exist right now! If I'm unaware of their existence, but I later know they were pro-EA billionaires in 2022, I will not resolve positively! Supposedly there are 4 billionaire funders now? Well, this question is about the fifth one!
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be a half-trillionaire by the end of 2025?
31% chance
Will there be a half-trillionaire by the end of 2026?
62% chance
Will there be another EA billionaire by the end of 2025?
85% chance
Will >10 people committed to EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become billionaires (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, by means other than crypto or inheritance?
40% chance
Will an EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become a billionaire (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, by means other than crypto or inheritance?
90% chance
Will >10 EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become a billionaire (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, *including* crypto or inheritance?
75% chance
Will there be a trillionaire (USD) by EOY 2029?
47% chance
Will there be a trillionaire by the end of 2028?
39% chance
Will I become a billionaire before 2053?
24% chance
Will there be manifold billionaire by 2030
68% chance