Will EA funding in 2023 be higher than in 2021?
If I attend EA Global Boston, will I consider it a better use of my time than the counterfactual?
If this charity is on the EA Donation Election, will it win?
Will I consider EA more centralized at the end of 2023 than it is in November 2022?
At the end of 2023, how well will people in EA think they handled the FTX scandal?
Will the EA Forum Donation Election Fund raise $50k?
Will the EA Forum Donation Election Fund raise $40k?
By the end of 2023, will substantial evidence emerge that leaders in EA knew about (or had strong suspicions of) SBF/FTX's unethical investing practices and chose to cover it up?
Will there be public knowledge of a major IT-Security incident at a well-known EA org before 2024?
Will the EA Forum Donation Election Fund raise $100k?
Will EA Munich host a regular community event with over 25 people attending before the end of the year?
In the 2022 EA survey, what % of EAs select "AI Risk" as top cause?
Will a whistleblower protection scheme be implemented in 2023 for members of EA organisations?
In 2 months, will the Open AI ouster have been confirmed to be EA(-ish)-instigated?
Will there be another EA billionaire by the end of 2024?
Will any major EA organization release a post-mortem estimating that the fallout from the FTX collapse cost EA as a whole >=$100 million?
Will EA community deploy and actively use a DAO by 2027?
Will the Musk Foundation fund a major EA project by 2031?
Will research into digital sentience / the fundamental nature of consciousness get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Will betting in or subsidizing specific prediction markets be an EA cause area by 2030?