Will EA funding in 2023 be higher than in 2022?
32
85
Ṁ1.1KṀ630
Dec 31
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ49 +392.0%
New probability
21% +1.0%
Will resolve for the numbers listed here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1IeO7NIgZ-qfSTDyiAFSgH6dMn1xzb6hB2pVSdlBJZ88/edit#gid=771773474
Post:
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ZbaDmowkXbTBsxvHn/historical-ea-funding-data#Observations
Funding for 2022 is estimated at $740.9M, including a FTX position of $157.0M.
The estimate for 2023 at close will be used for comparison.
Will resolve to N/A in case of problems (e.g., no estimates at close).
Will resolve to YES if funding(2023) > funding(2022).
Will resolve to NO if funding(2023) <= funding(2022) (rounding according to spreadsheet).
Get Ṁ500 play money
Related questions
Will EA funding in 2023 be higher than in 2021?
lu
If I attend EA Global Boston, will I consider it a better use of my time than the counterfactual?
Linch Zhang
If this charity is on the EA Donation Election, will it win?
Tetra
Will I consider EA more centralized at the end of 2023 than it is in November 2022?
Rachel Shu
At the end of 2023, how well will people in EA think they handled the FTX scandal?
Isaac King
Will the EA Forum Donation Election Fund raise $50k?
Will Howard
Will the EA Forum Donation Election Fund raise $40k?
Will Howard
By the end of 2023, will substantial evidence emerge that leaders in EA knew about (or had strong suspicions of) SBF/FTX's unethical investing practices and chose to cover it up?
Isaac King
Will there be public knowledge of a major IT-Security incident at a well-known EA org before 2024?
lu
Will the EA Forum Donation Election Fund raise $100k?
Will Howard
Will EA Munich host a regular community event with over 25 people attending before the end of the year?
Jens Brandt
In the 2022 EA survey, what % of EAs select "AI Risk" as top cause?
Ludwig Bald
Will a whistleblower protection scheme be implemented in 2023 for members of EA organisations?
O
In 2 months, will the Open AI ouster have been confirmed to be EA(-ish)-instigated?
Mr Magnolia
Will there be another EA billionaire by the end of 2024?
Marcus Abramovitch
Will any major EA organization release a post-mortem estimating that the fallout from the FTX collapse cost EA as a whole >=$100 million?
Vincent Luczkow
Sort by:
Related questions
Will EA funding in 2023 be higher than in 2021?
lu
If I attend EA Global Boston, will I consider it a better use of my time than the counterfactual?
Linch Zhang
If this charity is on the EA Donation Election, will it win?
Tetra
Will I consider EA more centralized at the end of 2023 than it is in November 2022?
Rachel Shu
At the end of 2023, how well will people in EA think they handled the FTX scandal?
Isaac King
Will the EA Forum Donation Election Fund raise $50k?
Will Howard
Will the EA Forum Donation Election Fund raise $40k?
Will Howard
By the end of 2023, will substantial evidence emerge that leaders in EA knew about (or had strong suspicions of) SBF/FTX's unethical investing practices and chose to cover it up?
Isaac King
Will there be public knowledge of a major IT-Security incident at a well-known EA org before 2024?
lu
Will the EA Forum Donation Election Fund raise $100k?
Will Howard
Will EA Munich host a regular community event with over 25 people attending before the end of the year?
Jens Brandt
In the 2022 EA survey, what % of EAs select "AI Risk" as top cause?
Ludwig Bald
Will a whistleblower protection scheme be implemented in 2023 for members of EA organisations?
O
In 2 months, will the Open AI ouster have been confirmed to be EA(-ish)-instigated?
Mr Magnolia
Will there be another EA billionaire by the end of 2024?
Marcus Abramovitch
Will any major EA organization release a post-mortem estimating that the fallout from the FTX collapse cost EA as a whole >=$100 million?
Vincent Luczkow
Will EA community deploy and actively use a DAO by 2027?
Anton Makiievskyi
Will the Musk Foundation fund a major EA project by 2031?
Marcus Aurelius
Will research into digital sentience / the fundamental nature of consciousness get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Jackson Wagner
Will betting in or subsidizing specific prediction markets be an EA cause area by 2030?
Isaac King