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MANIFOLD
will there be a moomin prediction market by the end of july?
1
แน€1kแน€250
Jul 31
16%
chance
  • resolves yes if the market is used by 5 or more housemates across 3 or more markets

  • the market must be running code which did not exist before July 15 (you can't just reuse manifold/polymarket)

  • a "housemate" is anyone who has spent more than 7 nights sleeping at moomin at any point in the last 10 years

  • resolves no if the market is not fun and does not lead to levity

  • resolves no if the market goodharts the letter of this market

  • resolves yes if the market goodharts the spirit of the market

I will be fair and want to resolve yes ๐Ÿ™

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