Which prediction markets and forecasting platforms will still be opening new markets/questions through 2028?
38
180
Ṁ3KṀ1.6K
2029
1D
1W
1M
ALL
95%
Metaculus
91%
Manifold
81%
Good Judgment Open
80%
Kalshi
77%
Polymarket
41%
Insight Prediction
25%
PredictIt
18%
Fox News' America Predicts
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@MikhaFischler But then, it would eventually resolve YES, so the initial YES bets will turn out profitable anyway, right ?
@MikhaFischler It just depends on people's psychology. Some people like it to be the "right" probability rather than just the option that's most likely to cash out eventually
@Bayesian I mean, a platform could still exist and operate old questions while not opening new questions. So Manifold could in fact resolve no here, or any of these other options could resolve no while still existing.
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