https://www.bls.gov/oes/current/oes533032.htm
Currently, there are about two million truck drivers employed in the US. However, self-driving trucks could automate a significant fraction of this sector. Will this happen before January 2029?
(Will resolve based on BLS or similar source. May resolve up to six months later in case there are no reliable sources and its not already clear.)
Added this market here because I thought it could be classified as third party validated. https://manifold.markets/group/third-party-validated-predictive-ma-6bab86c0b8b0/questions
From a shallow investigation, seems like technical challenges remain like navigating tight loading areas
There seem to be regulatory burdens
There is a limit to how many autonomous trucks can be produced per year, seems unlikely you can scale this to millions per year
