Will the number of human engineers in front end dev jobs be halved by 2030?
Technology
Basic
31
Ṁ1.2k
2030
59%
chance

U.S. specific.

Initial state: Start of market, latest available survey measuring this.

Final state: End of 2030.



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SURE I'LL TAKE YOUR MANA

gimme some time to cash out on this election bizz

It feels like most markets on AI stuff are terribly miscalibrated, anything above 5 percent here is horrifically mispriced

I think it's possible that the definition of "front end" could change substantially by 2030

Do you have an example source in mind? I think that can help provide more color on some potential ambiguity.

Also, you said US specific, so just to confirm, if the jobs moved to other countries that would still be sufficient - correct?

@Tyler31 don't have source in mind, someone should be tracking this, right?

Yes, outsourcing will still lead to a similar effect, and it's a valid possibility

I think considerably more than 50% of all front end dev jobs.. see here by Matt Welsh:

https://youtu.be/qmJ4xLC1ObU?si=3erpx7scm6rLa0ea

Curious, you still stand by this biz?

Edit: deleted account loo

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