Will any fusion reactor project demonstrate engineering breakeven before the end of 2022?
98
1kṀ19kresolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Some people are really optimistic about new reactor design with super strong magnets. Initial probability is super low here anyways because fusion power has been "soon" many times in the past.
Feb 9, 6:16pm: Engineering breakeven basically means that the reaction generates enough excess energy to power itself, and is explained in this wiki article: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fusion_energy_gain_factor
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ138 | |
2 | Ṁ99 | |
3 | Ṁ90 | |
4 | Ṁ86 | |
5 | Ṁ86 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will any fusion reactor project demonstrate engineering breakeven before the end of 2040?
87% chance
Will First Light Fusion demonstrate breakeven in a fusion reactor before the end of 2025?
8% chance
Will General Fusion demonstrate breakeven in a fusion reactor before the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will Commonwealth Fusion demonstrate breakeven in a fusion reactor before the end of 2025?
8% chance
Will Tokamak Energy demonstrate breakeven in a fusion reactor before the end of 2025?
9% chance
Will Helion demonstrate breakeven in a fusion reactor before the end of 2025?
15% chance
Will TAE demonstrate breakeven in a fusion reactor before the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will Zap Energy demonstrate breakeven in a fusion reactor before the end of 2025?
19% chance
In which decade will a fusion reactor project first demonstrate engineering breakeven?
Will we get fusion reactors before 2026?
3% chance