Will any fusion reactor project demonstrate engineering breakeven before the end of 2023?

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Ṁ12kresolved Jan 1

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Some people are really optimistic about fusion, especially given recent progress. Initial probability is still super low here anyways because fusion power has been "soon" many times in the past.

Engineering breakeven basically means that the reaction generates enough excess energy to power itself, and is explained in this wiki article: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fusion_energy_gain_factor

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