Will any fusion reactor project demonstrate engineering breakeven before the end of 2023?
36
112
Ṁ12KṀ710
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Some people are really optimistic about fusion, especially given recent progress. Initial probability is still super low here anyways because fusion power has been "soon" many times in the past.
Engineering breakeven basically means that the reaction generates enough excess energy to power itself, and is explained in this wiki article: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fusion_energy_gain_factor
Get Ṁ200 play money
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ177 | |
| 2 | Ṁ166 | |
| 3 | Ṁ144 | |
| 4 | Ṁ40 | |
| 5 | Ṁ7 |
Related questions
Will any fusion reactor project demonstrate engineering breakeven before the end of 2040?
70% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2038?
50% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2039?
47% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2034?
35% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2041?
53% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2040?
51% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2036?
43% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2037?
44% chance
Will we have a functioning, energy-producing, nuclear fusion reactor by 2033?
34% chance
Will a private company demonstrate nuclear fusion net gain (>1.0 energy out vs energy in) before 12/31/2025?
27% chance