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MANIFOLD
Who will win the primary for California lieutenant governor?
9
Ṁ200Ṁ1.8k
resolved Jun 13
100%94%
Fiona Ma
0.9%
Janelle Kellman
0.9%
Michael Tubbs
0.5%
Ebie Lynch
0.6%
Alice Stek
1.1%
David Fennell
1.5%
Josh Fryday
0.6%
Tim Myers

  • Update 2026-06-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution criteria: Resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.

Market context
Elections
2026 US Election
California Politics
California
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What does “win the primary” mean in a state with a top-two primary? Does it resolve 50% for each candidate who advances? Or does it resolve to whoever gets the most votes in the primary?

@Conflux good question. I guess most votes makes sense.

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