Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the 2026 election for California's 32nd State Senate district. The outcome will be determined based on the certified election results published by the California Secretary of State. (gov.ca.gov)

Background

The 32nd State Senate district encompasses parts of Riverside, San Diego, Orange, and San Bernardino counties, including cities such as Temecula, Murrieta, Wildomar, Lake Elsinore, and Yorba Linda. (en.wikipedia.org)

The incumbent, Republican Kelly Seyarto, was elected to the State Senate in 2022. Prior to his tenure in the Senate, Seyarto served in the California State Assembly from 2020 to 2022 and has a background as a firefighter and local government official in Murrieta. (sr32.senate.ca.gov)

As of July 2025, no official candidates have declared their intention to run in the 2026 election for this district. Potential candidates may include the incumbent, Kelly Seyarto, should he choose to seek re-election. (en.wikipedia.org)

Considerations

California employs a top-two primary system, where all candidates, regardless of party affiliation, compete in a single primary election. The two candidates receiving the most votes advance to the general election. This system can lead to general election contests between candidates of the same party.

Voter registration in the 32nd district shows a Democratic majority, with 49.59% registered Democrats compared to 20.98% registered Republicans. However, recent elections have seen Republican victories, indicating potential competitiveness in the district. (en.wikipedia.org)