Who will become the next governor of California after Gavin Newsom?

2.9kṀ57k

2027

37%

Eric Swalwell

17%

Tom Steyer

Other

Katie Porter

Rick Caruso

Antonio Villaraigosa

Steve Hilton

Xavier Becerra

1.8%

Jon Slavet

1.8%

Kamala Harris

1.8%

Ethan Agarwal

1.7%

Eleni Kounalakis

Gavin Newsom is term-limited and cannot seek re-election as California governor in 2026. Who will replace him?

Market context

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will Gavin Newsom be elected President in 2028?

20% chance

What will Gavin Newsom’s next position be after governor?

Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee, and will he win?

Who will finish top 2 in the California gubernatorial primary election?

If Gavin Newsom is the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028, who will be the Vice Presidential nominee?

Will Gavin Newsom ever be elected President?

19% chance

Will Gavin Newsom complete his second term as governor of California?

96% chance

Will Gavin Newsom be the Presidential or Vice Presidential candidate for the Democrats in 2028?

35% chance

Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028?

28% chance

When will Gavin Newsom announce his run for presidency for the 2028 election?

7 Comments

75 Holders

510 Trades

Sort by:

https://manifold.markets/news/2026-california-governor-election?r=TnpKYWNrMG4

I made a dashboard so you can find other California Governor markets easily

bought Ṁ1,800 NO

https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2025-11-04/sen-padilla-says-will-not-run-for-california-governor

Hmmm https://x.com/JerusalemDemsas/status/1975741222007546074

@KevinBurke Wow. Just wow. I can't imagine voting for someone so strongly opposed to being asked perfectly reasonable questions in an interview with a journalist. It's just so pathetic. Does Katie Porter think she's entitled to power without challenge?