Who will become the next governor of California after Gavin Newsom?

Ṁ2.9kṀ58k

2027

43%

Eric Swalwell

15%

Tom Steyer

10%

Other

Katie Porter

Antonio Villaraigosa

Steve Hilton

Xavier Becerra

1.9%

Rick Caruso

1.8%

Jon Slavet

1.8%

Kamala Harris

1.8%

Ethan Agarwal

1.7%

Eleni Kounalakis

Gavin Newsom is term-limited and cannot seek re-election as California governor in 2026. Who will replace him?

Market context

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will Gavin Newsom be elected President in 2028?

19% chance

What will Gavin Newsom’s next position be after governor?

Will Gavin Newsom ever become the President of the USA?

22% chance

Who will finish top 2 in the California gubernatorial primary election?

Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028?

28% chance

If Gavin Newsom is the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028, who will be the Vice Presidential nominee?

Will Gavin Newsom ever become the Democratic nominee for president?

35% chance

Will Gavin Newsom complete his second term as governor of California?

96% chance

Will Gavin Newsom be the Presidential or Vice Presidential candidate for the Democrats in 2028?

35% chance

When will Gavin Newsom announce his run for presidency for the 2028 election?

7 Comments

76 Holders

527 Trades

Sort by:

https://manifold.markets/news/2026-california-governor-election?r=TnpKYWNrMG4

I made a dashboard so you can find other California Governor markets easily

bought Ṁ1,800 NO

https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2025-11-04/sen-padilla-says-will-not-run-for-california-governor

Hmmm https://x.com/JerusalemDemsas/status/1975741222007546074

@KevinBurke Wow. Just wow. I can't imagine voting for someone so strongly opposed to being asked perfectly reasonable questions in an interview with a journalist. It's just so pathetic. Does Katie Porter think she's entitled to power without challenge?