
What will the dominant social media protocol be at the end of 2028?
34
1.3kṀ16192029
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
86%
AT protocol (Bluesky)
14%
ActivityPub (Mastodon)
Dominance is defined as being the recommended industry standard or de facto standard---a majority of users.
If ambiguous (e.g., no clear dominant protocol due to difficulty counting true users), this will resolve to N/A.
Even if a centralized platform is still dominant (e.g., Facebook, Twitter), this will resolve to the most widely used decentralized protocol/industry standard.
Protocol: A system of rules that allows two or more entities of a communications system to transmit information
A social media protocol needs to:
1. support sharing of content by users;
2. support interaction with the content of other users;
3. have permanence/persistency.
Counterexamples:
RSS---no interaction.
IRC and Matrix---not designed for async access with persistence.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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