Which Twitter-like social media platform will be most popular at the end of 2026?
33
279
1.2k
2027
62%
X
13%
Threads
11%
Bluesky
1.9%
Mastodon
1.2%
Substack Notes
1.7%
Truth Social
10%
Other

Popularity determined by some form of "active users". e.g. users who have made at least 1 post in the past year. The exact metric will be determined by what sites choose to report and what can reasonably be estimated.

If a site is renamed, this resolves to the old name. If two sites merge, this resolves to the name of the new one if it kept an old name, or to the one that was bigger prior to the merge if not.

If you'd like a new site added, ask me and I'll add it. (You'll need to managram me M$25.)

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bought Ṁ10 of Threads YES

Yes, In my opinion the thread will be the one as it reached to 100 million users and became one of the fastest social media platform so far. Thread has some of the features which twitter does not such as it has better verification system than twitter, it is a part of Meta and we all know how good is meta when it comes to protecting users data. And the same has been claimed by Mark Zukerberg stated the same that it will overtake twitter which is a credible source I believe. The way people are joining the new platform it it exactly as the behavior which is common in stock called "Herding behaviour" if celebrities and other famous influential are joining the platform then masses will follow.....

Thread vs Twitter features comparison: https://tech.co/news/threads-vs-twitter

In my opinion thread will be the one, as it shows tremendous growth after its launch. it reached 100 million users than any other platforms. which shows how easy it was to join this platform as compare to other here is the article abc news "Can Threads overtake X, formerly known as Twitter? Experts weigh in" by Mark Zahn

https://abcnews.go.com/Business/threads-overtake-twitter-experts-weigh/story?id=102069768

@UmarFarooq Then you should bet on Threads, not repost the exact same article someone else already posted below.

bought Ṁ70 of Other YES

https://abcnews.go.com/Business/threads-overtake-twitter-experts-weigh/story?id=102069768

I believe Mark Zuckerberg is a credible source. In the article I have cited below, he believes Thread is the only likely social media platform to overtake Twitter's popularity by the end of 2026. According to ABC's article, "analysts say that the app surpassed 2 million sign-ups in the first two hours, and crossed 100 million users within five days".

@KomalGhazanfar Not that I'm saying there's no chance, but Zuckerberg is the second-least credible person on the subject. The success of a social media site depends on people believing that it will be / is popular, and any CEO who says that their site won't be popular is an honest fool. I'm also not convinced that the guy who is responsible for the mass user/non-user data collection company that is Facebook would be honest even if he were a fool (https://www.esquire.com/uk/latest-news/a19490586/mark-zuckerberg-called-people-who-handed-over-their-data-dumb-f/), although some recent events have shifted me slightly towards believing in his present integrity.

bought Ṁ10 of Threads YES

In my opinion thread will be the one, as it shows tremendous growth after its launch. it reached 100 million users than any other platforms. which shows how easy it was to join this platform as compare to other here is the article abc news "Can Threads overtake X, formerly known as Twitter? Experts weigh in" by Mark Zahn

https://abcnews.go.com/Business/threads-overtake-twitter-experts-weigh/story?id=102069768

bought Ṁ0 of Other NO

Can I still mana gram you to add a new site in late 2026?

sold Ṁ9 of Threads YES
bought Ṁ100 of Other NO

@IsaacKing Feeling pretty good about NO on "other" then

bought Ṁ20 of Other YES

@jfjurchen Any shares you buy in "other" will be transferred to any new options created after your purchase. If you think any platform other than the 6 that are currently listed will win but don't know which one, you should buy YES in "other".

bought Ṁ100 of Other NO

@IsaacKing I gotta spend more time reading the change log

@jfjurchen I think it changed relatively recently, when they added the new multiple-choice market mechanism where we're able to bet "NO" on individual options.

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