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Will some form of decentralized social media have at least 5% global user share by 2030?
9
Ṁ190Ṁ82
2030
51%
chance

Will be measured by taking as many articles reporting user-share during 2029 , to then average out the reports and make a decision

Market context
Internet
X (Twitter)
Social Media
Decentralization
Meta (Facebook)
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Interesting market. I don't think a standalone product could hit this metric, but if Apple or Google decided to build a decentralized SN simply using their communications network (without top-down control), that could easily exceed 5%.

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