Will some form of decentralized social media have at least 5% global user share by 2030? | Manifold

Will some form of decentralized social media have at least 5% global user share by 2030?

Basic

9

Ṁ82

2030

51%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Will be measured by taking as many articles reporting user-share during 2029 , to then average out the reports and make a decision

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#️ X (Twitter)

#Meta (Facebook)

#Decentralization

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

Interesting market. I don't think a standalone product could hit this metric, but if Apple or Google decided to build a decentralized SN simply using their communications network (without top-down control), that could easily exceed 5%.

Related questions

Which Twitter-like social media platform will be most popular at the end of 2026?

Will any social media platform surpass Facebook in terms of global active users by the end of 2025?

Will a new social media platform launched after 1/1/23 surpass 500 million active users by 2026?

Will AI generated content be ~50% or more of content creation on major social media platforms in 2025?

What percentage of the global population will be internet users in 2030?

Will a new social media platform be the most popular worldwide by 2032?

Will bots be the dominant population (>50%) on any leading social media platform by 2030?

🌐Which social platforms will reach 500M or more users by the end of 2030? [ADD RESPONSES]

Will this market reach 1000 users by 2030?

Will Twitter have at least 400 million monthly active users in 2030?

Related questions

Which Twitter-like social media platform will be most popular at the end of 2026?

Will a new social media platform be the most popular worldwide by 2032?

Will any social media platform surpass Facebook in terms of global active users by the end of 2025?

Will bots be the dominant population (>50%) on any leading social media platform by 2030?

Will a new social media platform launched after 1/1/23 surpass 500 million active users by 2026?

🌐Which social platforms will reach 500M or more users by the end of 2030? [ADD RESPONSES]

Will AI generated content be ~50% or more of content creation on major social media platforms in 2025?

Will this market reach 1000 users by 2030?

What percentage of the global population will be internet users in 2030?

Will Twitter have at least 400 million monthly active users in 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules