Which major social media platforms will implement community notes by 2030? (FIXED)
Which major social media platforms will implement community notes by 2030? (FIXED)
6
1kṀ10662030
96%
Facebook (the timeline, not messenger)
88%
TikTok
83%
Instagram
53%
YouTube
48%
Bluesky
47%
Reddit
29%
Hacker News
The community notes implementation doesn't need to be called as such, but it must have the core features of community notes or equivalent features:
Notes are shown prominently whenever the post is visible on the platform
Notes can be voted on my regular users, there's no paid moderation team
Notes are shown according to something like Cans consensus algorithm
I won't vote, and might clarify the question if ambiguities arise.
Update 2025-07-01 (PST): - Review Zuck's new video for additional context on community notes implementation. (AI summary of creator comment)
NOTE: This market previously existed, but I set it up incorrectly so that I'd only be able to resolve one answer as correct🙈🤷♂️. This market has been fixed, it's possible for multiple answers to resolve YES
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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