Will China blockade Taiwan between the US election and the next Presidential inauguration?
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į¹1kį¹9.7kresolved Jan 26
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This resolves to yes if the blockade begins after 10/31/2024 and before 1/21/2025.
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@Jan53274 Excellent question- Iād say yes in both cases assuming the blockade is sustained and used as a political tool. If some ships surround a minor island for 20 minutes before moving on then no.
@jdilla Maybe you can define blockade in the description. For example as a certain percentage reduction of taiwans trade and a time frame. to prevent fringe cases like the intimidation of individual trade ships or a blockade of a lighthouse boathouse š
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