Will US mortgage rates on 10/27 be higher than they were on 9/1 (5.66%)?
14
4
Ṁ2.9KṀ220
resolved Oct 29
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the US average 30-year fixed rate mortgage reported on https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms for 10/27 is strictly greater than 5.66%, the value on 9/1. Resolves NO if it is <= 5.66%.
Sep 19, 2:44pm: Will US mortgage rates in late October be higher than they were on 9/1 (5.66%)? → Will US mortgage rates on 10/27 be higher than they were on 9/1 (5.66%)?
Get Ṁ200 play money
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ51 | |
| 2 | Ṁ20 | |
| 3 | Ṁ12 | |
| 4 | Ṁ10 | |
| 5 | Ṁ6 |
Sort by:
Mortgage rates have been climbing over the last month, now up to 6.94%. The weekly averages from FreddieMac look a lot more slow-and-steady than the reality which was extraordinarily volatile - see e.g. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US or https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/mortgage-rates/mnd. But still extremely unlikely to drop a full percentage point in a week.
Related questions
Will mortgage rates fall below 5% anytime before the end of 2024?
29% chance
When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)
Will the US Fed Funds rate in 10 years be higher than 4%?
29% chance
Mortgage rates higher in 5 years?
37% chance
Will the prime rate be higher a year from now?
14% chance
Will 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5% before 2025? (United States)
14% chance
Will 10-year treasury yields in 2032 be higher than 3.5%?
43% chance
[REDFIN] Will US mortgage rates steadily decline but remain above 6% in 2024?
5% chance
Will the US 10YR Treasury be above 4.75% on July 1, 2024?
41% chance
Will 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5% before 2026? (United States)
60% chance