Will a nuclear weapon detonate in New York City by end of 2023?

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Ṁ7.6kresolved Jan 1

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This question will resolve as **YES **if a nuclear weapon detonates in the New York City metropolitan area after October 3, 2022 and before January 1, 2024. Otherwise **NO**.

Any of a deliberate, inadvertent, or accidental/unauthorised detonation would count towards question resolution.

See https://manifold.markets/post/nuclear-risk-forecasting for a dashboard of other nuclear risk questions along with commentary and analysis.

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