On August 1, we had Trump's indictment, right after this end-of-July market ended: https://manifold.markets/BTE/will-trump-be-indicted-for-crimes-r-666bc694edaa
There was also Fitch's downgrade of the US debt:
https://manifold.markets/jack/will-fitch-downgrade-the-united-sta
Resolves to any questions submitted here (with at least 10 traders) about whether an event happens by the end of August, where the event doesn't happen then but does happen on Sep 1. Resolves in proportion to the number of traders.
If there are multiple questions about the same event, only the first one submitted here will count, but we'll use the trader count of the largest one.
Multi choice questions where one option is equivalent to before the end of August will count too.
If there are none, resolves None.
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ52 | |
| 2 | Ṁ43 | |
| 3 | Ṁ31 | |
| 4 | Ṁ25 | |
| 5 | Ṁ13 |