Will Fitch downgrade the United States debt before August 2023? | Manifold

Will Fitch downgrade the United States debt before August 2023?

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Resolves YES if Fitch downgrades US debt from AAA before August 2023, otherwise NO.

Fitch placed the US on a negative outlook as a result of the debt ceiling crisis:

https://www.fitchratings.com/research/sovereigns/fitch-places-united-states-aaa-on-rating-watch-negative-24-05-2023

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aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa

Another market closed one day before.

https://www.fitchratings.com/research/sovereigns/fitch-downgrades-united-states-long-term-ratings-to-aa-from-aaa-outlook-stable-01-08-2023

Wow, this market closed just too soon.

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