Will Trump be indicted for crimes related to January 6 by the end of July?
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resolved Aug 1
Resolved
NO

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predicted YES

@JamesRomeril Monday is still July so….

predicted NO

@BTE Thank you for stating the obvious. The point was there’s only one day left to produce an indictment, if that wasn’t clear.

bought Ṁ10 of NO

This shouldn’t be higher than /jack/will-trump-be-indicted-in-july

predicted NO

Made a multi choice version of this to see the forecast timeline in one place:

predicted YES

Trump says Special Counsel told him he is target of Jan 6 probe and he expects to be charged.

nvm figured it out lol

predicted YES

The grand jury in Fulton County was sworn in yesterday folks. This now looks quite likely.

bought Ṁ20 of YES

@MaggieDelano Somehow my reply keeps not posting. They have the recommendation from the special grand jury and a report summarizing all of the evidence so this is not a typical grand jury that hears from witnesses directly. They will present the report and recommendations and vote. Should take two weeks instead of two months IMO.