Will China stop quarantining incoming travellers by June 30, 2023?
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resolved Jun 6
Resolved
YES

While Hong Kong lifted its compulsory quarantine requirement for travelers outside of China in September 2022, such requirements remain for travelers to the PRC mainland (Government of Hong Kong, US Embassy in China, US News & World Report, CNN).

For the purposes of this question, "incoming travellers" means people coming to China from anywhere other than the Chinese mainland, Hong Kong, Macao, or Taiwan. The general removal of the requirements with exceptions would count so long as travel from at least six G7 nations is permitted without quarantine (Canada G7). An announcement that the PRC will cease to require travellers from outside of China to quarantine at some future date after 30 June 2023 would not count.

Nov 8, 4:47pm: Will China stop quarantining incoming travellers by June 30, 2022? → Will China stop quarantining incoming travellers by June 30, 2023?

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bought Ṁ100 of YES

@itsTomekK Metaculus question on the same thing resolved 5 months ago to "January 7th": https://www.metaculus.com/questions/9038/quarantine-free-us-travel-to-china/

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I really thought they'd've stopped already. But let's assume another half a year should be enough time for the bureaucracy to work itself out.

You messed up the title, btw.

predicted NO

@AndrewHartman corrected!

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