How many Chinese nationals will be encountered at US borders in 2024? (Dependent market)
4
Ṁ215Ṁ587resolved Jan 1
100%85%
Less than 75,000 nationals
13%
75,000 - 99,999 nationals
0.5%
100,000 - 124,999 nationals
0.5%
125,000 - 149,999 nationals
0.5%
150,000 - 174,999 nationals
0.5%
175,000 - 199,999 nationals
0.4%
200,000 or more nationals
Resolves based on yearly data from US Customs and Border Protection. Go to the graphs and set Citizenship to CHINA, PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC OF.
This uses the calendar year, not the fiscal year displayed on the chart.
A version of How many Chinese nationals will be encountered at US borders in 2024? but with dependent options instead of independent options (only 1 option can resolve YES).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ458 | |
| 2 | Ṁ5 |
Sort by:
deleted, by bad, this isn’t resolved. Here are the numbers for 2024:
And I missed the clarification that you want to use the calendar year 🤦
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?
29% chance
100,000 Indians immigrate to China on K visas before 2030?
33% chance
Conditional on Trump being elected, how many H1B recipients will be admitted in the USA in 2026?
Will Chinese students be banned from attending universities in the US before 2029?
25% chance
At least 100k recent Taiwanese refugees reach US territory any time through 2031
31% chance
Will total US immigration to Canada for years 2025-2028 exceed that of years 2021-2024?
20% chance
will the US department of state issue surveillance-related travel warnings to people who visit china by EOY2028??
66% chance
What will the population of China be in 2040?
1.3b
Will the US hold at least 100 Chinese POW through 2029
26% chance
How many naturalized US citizens will be denaturalized between February 1, 2025 and February 1, 2029?