Will the Mysterious Pneumonia Outbreak in Northern China be a Pandemic?
35
Ṁ670Ṁ14kresolved Mar 26
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
referring to:
resolved based on reported case numbers, reasonable judgement, as well as the definition of 'pandemic' given here:
https://www.webmd.com/cold-and-flu/what-are-epidemics-pandemics-outbreaks
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@Donald might you resolve early if the outbreak subsides without being declared a pandemic, prior to end of 2024 when this market closes?
@chrisjbillington Yes, it seems reasonable to me that if there is enough information to expect no pandemic (for example if immune gap is the accepted consensus) I might close this early.
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