
Claims for ProtoAgi also count
open ai gives the definition of agi follows
"By AGI, we mean highly autonomous systems that outperform humans at most economically valuable work."
That's the default unless explicitly stated otherwise by them.
Related questions


It seems like they have pretty short timelines: https://openai.com/blog/introducing-superalignment


@osmarks
Quoting their blog post:
"Here we focus on superintelligence rather than AGI to stress a much higher capability level. We have a lot of uncertainty over the speed of development of the technology over the next few years, so we choose to aim for the more difficult target to align a much more capable system."





@firstuserhere Please explain in the description what qualifies as hinting at having AGI.

@firstuserhere That's good, but I was wondering what qualifies as *hinting* in your eyes.

@LukeHanks Thats a really good question. I will think more about how to phrase it, but i think i originally meant hinting at X as in marketing a product as capable of X even if the public disagrees about the product being capable of X (or perhaps the public doesn't have access to the product and cannot really test if it is capable of X but OpenAI says it is). What other meaning of hinting could we have? I would like to clarify those to avoid confusion, but i hope the spirit of the market is clear

Waiting for the inevitable "No company in the history of ever has announced AGI, so base rates alone say this market should be 1%"

@Mira AI doom has never happened before since 1600, so base rates alone say those markets should be trading at like, 0.4% or less.


@Mira I wonder why my notifications say you made this comment 17 minutes ago…
This is a tough one. Sam Altman already said "maybe GPT50" on Lex Fridman's podcasts and transformers probably aren't the magic bullet we are looking for. However, "claim or hint" is kind of a catch-all and sales teams love overhyping their products.

@AviMosseri I think Microsoft will claim it for them, but that doesn't count. If Sam and other figures at OpenAI push back I don't think that should count.

They might claim "Proto-agi" or "baby-agi" like the MS research team, so I am betting YES, but I don't think that means what people think it means, especially if there is no path forwards in terms of reliability.




















