when will OpenAI have announced they have achieved AGI?
Plus
23
Ṁ13512029
3%
2024
15%
2025
18%
2026
24%
2027
30%
2028
54%
2029
Resolved
N/Alater
answers resolve no if year goes by without an announcement
once an announcement is made the current year and all future years resolve YES
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?
33% chance
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by Jan 1, 2030? (1000M Subsidy)
71% chance
Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?
44% chance
When will OpenAI Announce AI Robots?
Will OpenAI name a year by which they expect to have achieved AGI by 01/01/2025?
15% chance
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024?
5% chance
Will the "OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI before 2025 end" market go below 10% before 2024 ends?
33% chance
When will a real money prediction market about OpenAI announcing AGI first stay above 50% for one month?
Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?
33% chance