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MANIFOLD
Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by Jan 1, 2030? (1000M Subsidy)
100
Ṁ2.2kṀ42k
2030
86%
chance

Claims for ProtoAgi also count

open ai gives the definition of agi follows

"By AGI, we mean highly autonomous systems that outperform humans at most economically valuable work."

That's the default unless explicitly stated otherwise by them.

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