Will SpaceX scrub their next (2nd) starship launch attempt?
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Ṁ330Ṁ1.1kresolved Apr 20
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This market resolves yes if the next time SpaceX starts the live stream to launch starship, the launch is scrubbed and the broadcast ended before anything happens.
The market resolves no if during the next broadcast the countdown hits 0 (even if nothing visible happens). Unless SpaceX announces it was a planned scrub at T-0
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Arbitrage, except if it scrubs for weather or range violations.
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Related questions
By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship?
By which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster?
Before which Starship flight will SpaceX first announce they will *attempt* at least one orbit?
Will Starship’s upper stage be caught successfully on SpaceX’s first attempt?
44% chance
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