What will be the next major event for SpaceX?
15
Ṁ1kṀ703
2030
59%
IPO
1.1%
Purchase by another company
1.8%
Bankruptcy
38%
None of these by 2030

IPO, Exit or Bankruptcy, which will be the next major event for SpaceX?

In the context of the question, raising VC round does not count as a major event.

For all of the questions in the series: https://manifold.markets/news/startups-next-major-event

  • Update 2025-12-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): An IPO of Starlink (SpaceX's satellite internet subsidiary) will not resolve this market, as Starlink is considered separate from SpaceX for resolution purposes.

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How would this resolve if there is an IPO for Starlink?

@SeanFrancisLyon starlink is not SpaceX, so it won't resolve the market

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