IPO, Exit or Bankruptcy, which will be the next major event for SpaceX?

In the context of the question, raising VC round does not count as a major event.

For all of the questions in the series: https://manifold.markets/news/startups-next-major-event

• Update 2025-12-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): An IPO of Starlink (SpaceX's satellite internet subsidiary) will not resolve this market, as Starlink is considered separate from SpaceX for resolution purposes.