When will the full-scale Israeli ground offensive in Gaza begin? (not isolated raids)
176
6.4kṀ70k
resolved Oct 28
100%79%
Oct 26-31
0.0%
Oct 14
0.2%
Oct 15
0.2%
Oct 16
0.2%
Oct 17
0.2%
Oct 18
0.2%
Oct 19
0.7%
Oct 20-25
19%
Nov or later

When will Israeli forces begin the major offensive into Gaza? This means sending substantial forces with the purpose of beginning to take territory and extricate Hamas from that territory, as opposed to isolated small raids like the ones yesterday.

Resolution will use the Israeli time zone. No offensive will resolve as "Nov or later".

Updated market with bins further in time: https://manifold.markets/connorwilliams97/when-will-the-fullscale-israeli-gro-18f9e903fb10

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