When will there be a ceasefire in Gaza?
3
150Ṁ105Jul 9
23%
Before 2025-07-09
31%
Before 2025-07-11
52%
Before 2025-07-15
52%
Before 2025-07-31
77%
Before 2025-08-15
77%
Before 2025-08-31
Each option resolves YES if a publicly announced, bilateral (or mediated) agreement that halts offensive military operations between Israel and Hamas occurs before the listed date in Pacific Time. The agreement must halt all offensive military operations across the entire Gaza Strip for at least 72 consecutive hours to be valid for this market. The start time is considered to be when the ceasefire enters into force, not when it is announced.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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