Will an AI system write a high quality "Winds of Winter" novel before George RR Martin publishes the actual thing?
16%
chance
Jan 1, 2026
M$257 bet
Market resolved if someone shows me a "Winds of Winter" novel attempt, written by an AI that has cleared read or understands the other books, that I like
celestia
If neither Martin nor an AI actually writes it by the deadline (2025 I think) then I'll resolve as N/A, this includes if he dies but an AI version wasn't written yet
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FranekZak
What if Martin dies before this happens? Would you resolve yea by default?
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