Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?
54
1.3kṀ5913Dec 31
85%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Final entry in main book series - does not include short stories, Simarillion style additional content, etc.
Does not count if partially completed and finished by another author
Update 2025-01-01 (PST): - Resolution Deadline Extended: The deadline for resolving the market has been extended by 12 months. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
When will the next game of thrones book by GRR Martin - "winds of winter", be released?
When will the second volume of "Fire & Blood" by George R. R. Martin be released?
What will be the next book/story in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” universe released by George R. R. Martin (in his life)?
Will an AI system write a high quality "Winds of Winter" novel before George RR Martin publishes the actual thing?
51% chance
Will "A Song of Ice and Fire" be completed before "House of the Dragon"?
6% chance
Will George R. R. Martin ever win the Hugo Award for Best Novel?
28% chance
Will Frank Ocean release an album before George R R Martin publishes his next Game of Thrones sequel?
81% chance
How many stories in the "Dunk and Egg" series will be published in George R. R. Martin's lifetime?
Which POV character will have the most chapters in "The Winds of Winter" by George R.R. Martin?
Will Patrick Rothfuss finish writing the third book of the Kingkiller Chronicles by 2030?
55% chance